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What’s
Life Like For Would-be
Entrepreneurs These
Days?
Time.com
has called Bob Davis,
former CEO of Lycos,
"one of the few
Internet entrepreneurs
who rode the elevator to
the penthouse and got
off before it plunged
earthward." Davis
started at Lycos in 1995
and while there,
completed the fastest
IPO in Nasdaq history.
Last year he sold the
company to Terra
Networks, a subsidiary
of Telefonica, for $6
billion. The original
venture funding was $2
million.
Now
a partner in Highland
Capital, an early-stage
venture capital firm
with over $1 billion
under management, and
the author of a new book
entitled Speed Is
Life, Davis was the
keynote speaker at the
Wharton Entrepreneurship
Conference on November
9th. Also speaking was
Alan Patricof of Apax
Partners, one of the
largest VC firms in the
world. Both men offered
words of advice for the
audience of fledgling
entrepreneurs and VCs.
Davis
told the audience, for
example, that there
never was a "new
economy" - just an
"irrationally
exuberant bubble that
existed for a year or
two," although he
also noted that
"the true potential
of the Internet remains
grossly
under-hyped."
Calling the Internet one
of the most significant
business process
improvements in history,
Davis identified several
basic business
capabilities and talked
about how companies can
best exploit these using
the web. Two of the ones
he focused on were
innovation and customer
service.
Innovation
(speed plus
imagination): Citing
such breakthroughs as
instant messaging,
digital publishing
technology and
timesaving
business-to-business
software, Davis said
that "speed saves
money, makes customers
happy and drives
revenue." When an
audience member argued
that speed was what
brought down the
dot.coms, Davis
responded that the
Internet bust had more
to do with
"companies that had
no concept of revenues
being rewarded in the
financial markets."
Any company in any
industry that could
bring its product to
market faster, serve
customers faster and
hire the best employees
faster would always have
the advantage, he said,
adding that "even
the mighty Jack Welch,
looking back on a
flawless record at GE,
said, ‘My biggest
mistake was taking too
long to make
decisions.’"
Speaking
about imagination, Davis
said the key to success
in a knowledge economy
is to invest
aggressively in your
imaginative capital and
ensure the best talent.
The pharmaceutical and
entertainment industries
are examples of this,
regularly spending
millions in such areas
as drug research and
film production.
Customer
service:
Davis advised companies
to "seize their
customer service moments
of truth." He
recalled how 25 years
ago he saw a grocery
store manager win over
an irate customer with a
gift of a candy bar and
a simple, sincere
apology. With the
Internet, he said,
"stores can
institutionalize and
automate that Snickers
bar you drop in the bag
to keep customers coming
back." He cited the
Land’s End virtual
model and Amazon’s
recommendation tool as
examples of good
customer service.
In
general, though,
according to Davis, an
overwhelming majority of
companies handle online
customer service so
badly that they
"un-sell their own
company … Fifty
percent of customers
expect an accurate
response to their email
within six hours, yet
only 20% of companies do
that. And 30% never
reply at all: They have
slapped up a website,
added some e-flash and
dazzle, and then
assigned one or two
hapless souls to
maintain it. The
Internet is possibly the
best thing that ever
happened to customer
service, yet few
companies leverage the
opportunity
properly."
Davis
also noted that while
the tremendous
information-sharing
power of the Internet is
well recognized, the
security risk is not.
Cyberterrorism,
according to Davis, can
go beyond simple hacking
to a so-called denial of
service attack. Websites
can be shut down for
hours by individuals
referred to as puppet
masters. "It’s
not Hollywood; it’s a
viable threat,"
warned Davis, and
recommended that
companies spend what it
takes to secure their
systems, even in lean
times when IT tends to
get cut.
What
about the people it
takes to build a
successful business?
Davis described them as
individuals with "a
burning desire to
succeed, not for the
money, but to succeed
for the sake of
success." And he
named perseverance as
his own most important
skill. Orphaned at a
young age and having
withstood a litany of
setbacks and failures in
his life as an
entrepreneur, Davis
today keeps a framed
t-shirt outside his
office bearing his
personal motto:
"You Let Up, You
Lose."
Alan
Patricof then shared his
thoughts about the state
of the venture capital
business in the current
economic downturn.
Patricof is chairman of
Apax Partners (formerly
Patricof & Co.
Ventures), which he
founded in 1969 and
which now has $12
billion under
management. His early
successes came, he said,
because "I happened
to be lucky enough in
the mid-‘60s, when I
was running family money
mostly in public stock,
to make three accidental
investments that worked
out very well." The
three investments were
the medical electronics
company Datascope, today
worth $50 million; New
York magazine, where
Patricof served as
chairman of the board,
and LIN Broadcasting,
which a few years ago
was sold to AT&T.
Patricof is also
credited with
involvement in the early
stages of Apple
Computer, America
Online, Cadence Systems,
Office Depot and FORE
Systems.
"Now
that the VC industry has
become more
professionalized over
the last decade, can we
expect even bigger
returns?" asked an
audience member.
Patricof’s response:
"A lot of you dream
about going into the
venture business and
getting stinking rich
overnight. Forget about
it. It’s a long-term
business, 5-10 years.
What’s happened in the
past few years - start a
company and six months
later you go public and
move on - has been
unnatural."
Patricof
also believes that the
returns publicly
reported in the last few
years have been
inflated. "It’s
almost inconceivable to
have rates of return of
50-100%. You would own
the world." And
even if you hear about
high rates of return in
a short period, he
added, that doesn’t
necessarily mean they
were viable companies
long-term. "Real
companies are built on
earnings and cash flow.
In the last few years,
we VCs underpriced our
capital. We gave away
millions of dollars for
crazy projects, and no
one did the hard
analysis of what
companies could
realistically earn.
Rationality’s coming
back, though: You may
not believe this, but
institutions are talking
about being happy with a
15-20% rate of
return." Patricof
believes that the
current economic period
will continue to drive
returns down.
"Companies have all
got religion. They
aren’t going to make
acquisitions, and
nobody’s going to get
bailed out."
What
types of entrepreneurs
and proposals do
Patricof find worthy of
funding? His list
included: 1) Someone
who’s done it before.
2) A team of people who
have been doing the same
thing together - such as
three people from a
large pharmaceutical
firm who decide to set
up a spinout of the
company. If the team
comes from different
industries and cities
and has never worked
together, that’s a
much greater risk. 3)
People who have
demonstrated they are
leaders and can energize
others. This includes
how they speak, write
and tell their story. 4)
Someone with an
‘unfair’ competitive
advantage such as a
patent or raw materials
source. 5) People who
understand the
financials and the
economics of the
business. Patricof also
noted he would rather
have the right people
with no product rather
than a good product with
a poor management team.
"I’d
love to hear an
entrepreneur say, ‘We
have two or three
competitors and we’re
going to price our
product 10% higher
because we’ve got
something people will
pay a premium
for,’" Patricof
said. He gave the
example of a videotape
rental delivery business
that proposed to be
fifty cents cheaper than
the competition. They
should have priced it $2
higher, Patricof said,
and offered 30-minute
service plus Ben and
Jerry’s ice cream and
pizza delivery.
Purchasing
an existing business is
a good option for
entrepreneurs, Patricof
added. He described a
recent project by two
business school students
to locate in the Midwest
"a dull
manufacturing business
(it made space heaters
for military vehicles)
that was going no place.
Patricof said he put
$250,000 into the
business; during its
first six months the
company had returned 90%
of the investment.
During
their talks, both Davis
and Patricof were asked
by audience members what
new industries or
opportunities they
thought business school
graduates should pursue.
Davis named several
technology areas:
•
Web-enabling traditional
business systems such as
payroll or order
tracking: Davis believes
this is a massive
marketplace that’s
largely unexploited.
•
Wearable computing:
It’s estimated, said
Davis, that five years
from now, 60% of us will
wear a chip somewhere on
our person for six hours
a day.
•
Inserting chip
technology into everyday
devices: Major
appliances and other
products will contain
tracking chips for
security purposes.
•
The security field:
Davis said that this
market was burgeoning
prior to September 11th
and is now perceived to
be even more vital.
Patricof’s
response may well have
been a less popular one
with his audience.
"All of you
shouldn’t be running
your own companies.
There isn’t enough
capital to sustain you.
There are a lot of
people laid off in the
venture capital business
and a lot more in
investment banking, all
trying to get into
private equity.
There’s nothing wrong
with going to work for
AOL Time Warner or Cisco
or General Motors. You
can acquire more skills
and become a much better
venture capitalist at a
later stage."
Published
with permission from
knowledge@wharton.upenn.edu.
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